If the Defense Department can’t get its books straight, how can it be trusted with a budget of more than $800 billion per year?

Written by Connor Echols | November 22, 2022

Last week, the Department of Defense revealed that it had failed its fifth consecutive audit. 

“I would not say that we flunked,” said DoD Comptroller Mike McCord, although his office did notethat the Pentagon only managed to account for 39 percent of its $3.5 trillion in assets. “The process isimportant for us to do, and it is making us get better. It is not making us get better as fast as we want.”

The news came as no surprise to Pentagon watchers. After all, the U.S. military has the distinction ofbeing the only U.S. government agency to have never passed a comprehensive audit.

But what did raise some eyebrows was the fact that DoD made almost no progress in this year’sbookkeeping: Of the 27 areas investigated, only seven earned a clean bill of financial health, whichMcCord described as “basically the same picture as last year.”

Given this accounting disaster, it should come as no surprise that the Pentagon has a habit of badfinancial math. This is especially true when it comes to estimating the cost of weapons programs.

The Pentagon’s most famous recent boondoggle is the F-35 program, which has gone over its originalbudget by $165 billion to date. But examples of overruns abound: As Sens. Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.) andJack Reed (D-RI) wrote in 2020, the lead vessel for every one of the Navy’s last eight combatant shipscame in at least 10 percent over budget, leading to more than $8 billion in additional costs.

And another major overrun is poised to happen soon, according to a recent report from theCongressional Budget Office. 

The Navy plans to expand its ship production in an effort to maintain an edge over China, with aparticular focus on a new attack submarine and destroyer ship. The Pentagon has proposed threeversions of this plan at an average cost of $27 billion per year between 2023 and 2052, a 10 percentjump from current annual shipbuilding costs. 

But the CBO says this is a big underestimate. The independent agency’s math says the average annualcost of this shipbuilding initiative will be over $31 billion, meaning that the Navy is underestimatingcosts by $120 billion over the program’s life.

As Mark Thompson of the Project on Government Oversight recently noted, these overruns “shouldn’tcome as a shock” to anyone who has paid attention to DoD acquisitions in recent years. “But it doessuggest a continuing, and stunning, inability by the Navy to get its ducks, and dollars, in a row,”Thompson wrote

So will the Pentagon manage to get its financial house in order any time soon? It’s possible, if a bitunlikely. 

Despite the long odds, a bipartisan group of lawmakers led by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) proposed abill last year that could help make that happen. The legislation would cut one percent off the top of thebudget of any part of the Pentagon that fails an audit. That means that, if the proposal had alreadypassed, 20 of the agency’s 27 auditing units would face a budget cut this year.

Unfortunately, momentum around that bill appears to have fizzled out, leaving the Pentagon’saccountants as the last line of defense. Per Comptroller McCord, the DoD hopes to finally pass an audit by 2027, a mere 14 years after every other agency in the U.S. government blew past that milestone.That may coincide with another historical moment, according to Andrew Lautz of the NationalTaxpayers Union.

“We could reach a $1 trillion defense budget five years sooner [than the CBO estimates], in 2027,”Lautz wrote.

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